Middle Market Sentiment Report: July 2025

How 762 decision-makers plan to grow through volatility  

July 2025

 

<p>Middle Market Sentiment Report: July 2025</p>

Tariffs shifting, rates rising, AI exploding — yet 200,000 companies generating a third of U.S. GDP keep charting paths to growth. Our new Middle Market Sentiment Report distills in-depth survey responses from 762 owners and executives of businesses with $10 million to $1 billion in annual revenue into a clear snapshot of 2025 priorities: where they’ll spend, where they’ll save, and how they’ll guard against risk.

Inside the report you’ll learn:

  • Why 72% of executives still rate their own outlook “excellent” or “very good,” even as tariffs, inflation, and interest rates threaten growth plans.
  • Where fresh dollars are headed first — AI pilots, automation upgrades, and stronger cyber defenses — and who’s boosting security budgets by 20% or more.
  • How nearly half of firms intend to stay on the buy-side of M&A while sellers tee up potential 2027 exits.
  • What’s driving a resurgence in check fraud and the controls cutting losses fastest.
  • Which outside funding sources — private equity, commercial lenders, venture capital — middle market CFOs trust most in a higher-cost environment.


Ready to benchmark your strategy?

Download the full PDF to get the data, charts, and executive perspectives you need.

 

 


With a focus on understanding the unique dynamics of middle market businesses, KeyBank can help you navigate challenges and seize new opportunities with confidence. Our relationship-driven approach means that as the economy shifts, we stay focused on your success — not just for today, but for years to come.

To see how we can help you reach your goals, contact us or visit key.com/commercial.

KeyBank Member FDIC.

“KeyBank Middle Market Business Sentiment Survey,” April 15 – May 30, 2025. KeyBank’s Middle Market Sentiment survey asked more than 700 owners and executives of businesses with $10 million to $1 billion in annual revenue about their outlook for the year, the challenges currently affecting their businesses, and their growth plans for 2025.

This article is for general information purposes only and does not consider the specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs of any individual person or entity. Information included was prepared based on survey respondents’ answers, information from business leaders considered to be reliable, and an express disclaimer of warranty, express or implied, as to such information’s accuracy or completeness. KeyBank does not provide legal advice.

Please read our complete KeyBanc Capital Markets disclosure statement.

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